News & Information
Daily Brief
Our remarks and commentaries on financial and economic developments as well as international economic and financial research, to set up the best suitable strategies for your investments
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MARKETSCOPE : Don’t Try To Catch a Falling Knife
A couple of weeks ago we signaled a short and a medium term coincident sell signals therefore that a correction process was imminent. Now that we've had our first glimpse of real selling pressure since November, investors have quickly become fearful, or at least much less optimistic. When sentiment normalizes after a prolonged period of extremes, it has historically never resulted in an immediate bear market, or even a correction. Read more...
MARKETSCOPE :The Market is Always Right
Last week we issued a short term sell signal on our weekly chart. The market confirmed that “crack” to this “unstoppable” bullish rally on Friday. Please note crucially, this signal DOES NOT mean to “sell everything and go to cash.” The bearish thesis for the second half of the year is based on the prediction that inflation would start rising as the base effects expire in June, at which point the Fed would be forced to make a hawkish turn - this means the interest rates would start rising again. Read more...
Highlights
A regular compilation of our leading research documents, in which our yearly macroeconomic investment scenario is either comforted or discarded because of developed or unexpected events
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Q2 Investment Strategy Update
Momentum on equity markets worldwide began to falter in April. How long a series of triumphs can be sustained on the financial markets ? We are adjusting our portfolio to the new environment we want to adjust our allocation to a more neutral Asset Allocation. We shall not add more exposure to equities at this stage. We recommend taking profits from the growth stock-dominated US equity market, and investing in global value stocks instead. Read more...
Q2 Investment Strategy & Asset Allocation
Our quarterly Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation publication includes our positioning including the conclusions from the analyses, asset classes, based on an assessment of the current economic situation in various regions, and our current model portfolios. Read more... Read more...