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Point Break : Long Term Cycles

September, 14 2012


If the cycles of the past century continue to repeat, most of the first decade (or more) of this century will experience a secular bear market – an extended period of generally down or sideways and choppy stock market conditions….That is what we propose to review in this presentation according to several technical approaches
As we are in a high risk / high volatility period typical of some secular cycle changes and long term bear markets  we proposed this presentation few weeks ago, rather it was a discussion about the fundamental forces that drive economic, financial and social environment and stock market returns. Even though it is challenging to predict the market over months and quarters or even a few years, we believe the presentation shows that the general environment (for some basic behavioral reasons we shall be glad to discuss) over some longer periods. Those periods are the secular stock market cycles of above-average bulls and below-average bears.